The data doesn’t guarantee that New Orleans will cover, but it would also be foolish to fade Brees & Co. On Sunday, Brees and the Saints head to New York for an outdoor game against the Giants (4:25 p.m. Home-field advantage is often overvalued by casual bettors, and all of Brees’ outdoor games are played away from the Superdome. The dome quarterback narrative isn’t the only reason why Brees has performed better ATS in outside games. Though his statistics dip in outdoor games, his cover percentage jumps nearly six percent, which means a $100 bettor wagering on Brees outside would have returned a profit of $1,440. In dome games, Brees is barely profitable covering the spread. Here are Brees’ records against the spread (ATS) in the regular season since 2003: The data from Bet Labs supports this claim. But they’re undervalued on the road because bettors assume Brees will struggle outside. If Brees isn't designated to return from injured reserve later Wednesday, it would be a strong early sign that the Saints aren't counting on him playing this weekend versus Kansas City, which would clear the way for Taysom Hill to make a fifth straight start.On the fast track of the Mercedes-Benz Superdome, the Saints see inflated lines.
Drew brees stats full#
According to Rapoport, Brees experienced pain and lacked full range of motion during his most recent throwing session Monday, so he'll likely need to show improvement in both areas Wednesday before his integration into practice is seriously considered. 15 game against the 49ers, but to this point, the 41-year-old hasn't progressed as quickly in his recovery as hoped. The Saints initially targeted the Week 15 matchup with the Chiefs for Brees' return from the lineup after the quarterback suffered a punctured lung and 11 rib fractures in a Nov. Brees doesn't possess the arm strength, pocket mobility or deep accuracy he once had in his prime, so expectations should be held in check if he decides to give it another go.īrees (ribs) is expected to throw a football early Wednesday before the Saints determine whether he's fit to join the team for practice later in the day, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports. If the living legend should return for the 2021 season (he is scheduled to make $25 million in the last year of his current contract), fantasy managers shouldn't let the name on the back of his jersey fool them into thinking he can turn back the clock in terms of production.
Rumblings of Brees' potential retirement grew louder after his disappointing play in the season-ending loss, but he remained mum on the subject after the game. Lots of credit for Brees' rough outing should be given to the Buccaneers' defense and defensive coordinator Todd Bowles, but the aging quarterback's untimely turnovers put Tampa's offense in very favorable field position on multiple occasions. The 42-year-old was unable to connect with top wideout Michael Thomas for the first time in a game in which both players played all four quarters during their five years together. SeasonTeamTypeGQBRatCompAttPctYdsPasY/GY/ATDIntSacksYdsL2001LACReg194.8152755.62212122002LACReg1676.932052660.83,28426241802003LACReg1167.520535657.
Tampa Bay's defense came at the future Hall of Famer as advertised, applying pressure with extra rushers and forcing the immobile veteran to get rid of the ball quickly and, at times, inaccurately. Brees completed 19 of 34 pass attempts for 134 yards, a touchdown and three interceptions in Sunday's NFC divisional-round loss to Tampa Bay.īrees was unable to push the ball downfield (3.9 yards per attempt) - as has been the case all season - but he had the Saints in position to advance to the next round until he threw his third interception in the fourth quarter that ultimately sealed his team's fate.
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